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  • dangerdan
    Participant
    Post count: 10

    I don’t know if you can see it but: Board Ks Jh 5c Td Kh

    My hand Ad Qc

    The player is a weaker Tag, but he had 39 or from the co and 50 ft3b:

    I think its not 100% correct or missleading, 14% are a little too wide for my feeling (just 380 Hands):

    [FONT=courier new]
    Board: K:spade:J:heart:5:club:
           Equity     Win     Tie
    CO     51.05%  47.42%   3.63% { AA, QQ-44, A2s+, KTs+, QTs+, J9s+, T8s+, 97s+, 86s+, 76s, AQo+, KQo }
    SB     48.95%  45.33%   3.63% { AdQc }
    [/FONT]

    I think this is more appropriate: 10,80%

    de.pokerstrategy.com
    Board: KsJh5c
    Equity Win Tie
    CO 55.84% 51.50% 4.34% { AA, QQ-55, A9s+, A5s-A2s, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, T9s, 98s, 87s, 76s, AQo+, KQo }
    SB 44.16% 39.82% 4.34% { AdQc }

    In my opinion he folds a lot to my big bet on the flop, he just pairs und gutshots (i am not sure about aqso and ats (he has a wtsd of 38 so could be):

    de.pokerstrategy.com
    Board: KsJh5cTd
    Equity Win Tie
    CO 15.03% 4.80% 10.23% { AA, QQ-TT, 55, AJs+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, AQo+, KQo }
    SB 84.97% 74.75% 10.23% { AdQc }

    Td is obviously a good card. The betsizing is the big question: I thought about a 40% bet to keep qq, qjs, kq, ak in. 2 pairs call anyway and sets could raise ai to this size jj, tt. Maybe 1/2 pot is better or even bigger, because (he will not push tt, jj???).

    After the bet he calls this range below. I don’t know if he pushes AQso, (I didn’t incorporated while playing a lot of aqo in his range, maybe I was wrong:

    de.pokerstrategy.com
    Board: KsJh5cTd
    Equity Win Tie
    CO 15.03% 4.80% 10.23% { AA, QQ-TT, 55, AJs+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, AQo+, KQo }
    SB 84.97% 74.75% 10.23% { AdQc }

    I really don’t think he pushes Ak, kq on the river. If he is “good” he pushes Ajs, Qjs, and Jts:

    de.pokerstrategy.com
    Board: KsJh5cTdKh
    Equity Win Tie
    CO 59.62% 42.31% 17.31% { JJ-TT, 55, AQs-AJs, KJs, QJs, JTs, AQo }
    SB 40.38% 23.08% 17.31% { AdQc }

    I need 31% so it would be a call. But I think they don’t find this “bluffs”, If he only bluffs Qjs, (maybe he foldet Ajs on the turn) (and TT on the flop):

    de.pokerstrategy.com
    Board: KsJh5cTdKh
    Equity Win Tie
    CO 70.45% 50.00% 20.45% { JJ-TT, 55, AQs, KJs, QJs, AQo }
    SB 29.55% 9.09% 20.45% { AdQc }

    de.pokerstrategy.com
    Board: KsJh5cTdKh
    Equity Win Tie
    CO 65.79% 42.11% 23.68% { JJ, 55, AQs, KJs, QJs, AQo }
    SB 34.21% 10.53% 23.68% { AdQc }

    Without AQo:

    de.pokerstrategy.com
    Board: KsJh5cTdKh
    Equity Win Tie
    CO 75.00% 66.67% 8.33% { JJ, 55, AQs, KJs, QJs }
    SB 25.00% 16.67% 8.33% { AdQc }

    Hand Information
    PokerStars No Limit, 0.25 BB (6 handed).
    Hand History converter courtesy of pokerhandreplays.com

    Table Information
    Seat: 1 Player 1 ($53.27) Dealer
    Seat: 2 Player 2 ($40.83) Small Blind
    Seat: 3 Hero ($25) Big Blind
    Seat: 4 Player 4 ($77.65)
    Seat: 5 Player 5 ($23.01)
    Seat: 6 Player 6 ($132.49)
    Dealt to Hero

    Preflop (Pot:0.35)
    Player 4 FOLD
    Player 5 FOLD
    Player 6 RAISE $0.62
    Player 1 FOLD
    Player 2 FOLD
    Hero RAISE $2.25
    Player 6 CALL $1.63

    Flop(Pot: $4.85)

    Hero BET $3.25
    Player 6 CALL $3.25

    Turn(Pot: $11.35)

    Hero BET $4
    Player 6 CALL $4

    River(Pot: $19.35)

    Hero CHECK
    Player 6 BET $16.1
    Hero FOLD
    Player 6 RETURN $16.1
    Showdown:
    Player 6 MUCKS

    Player 6 wins the pot: $35.45

     

    rye_mariano5
    Moderator
    Post count: 1979

    please use a proper hand converter like weaktight.com

    Flop you can bet like 1/3 or so

    Turn you should be betting bigger, setting up a good shove sizing on river. He can have tons of pair+ draws, and 2 pairs, Q9s, that we can get value from.

    As played you have to call the river. You’re basically just x/folding everything except the nuts if you don’t

    He could still have some AK, KQ, Q9s, K9s, JQs, TQs

     

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